State with no-excuse absentee or early in person:

FL, GA, ID, IL, IA, ME, NV, NC, ND, SD, WY.  The big ones on that list are FL, IA, NV, and NC, all battlegrounds.

States with excuse required absentee voting who have mailed:

DE, DC, IN, KY, MA, MI, MS, MO, PA, SC, TX, VA, WV.  Unlikely that more than 5% will vote early in these states.