I have written a brief memo about the three waves of votes counted in the Alaska Senate race, available here. While it’s not clear precisely where the uncounted votes are in Alaska, some educated guesses lead me to believe that Begich could garner another 6,000 votes, on net, when all the outstanding votes are counted.  Also, it’s clear that the 4% of the senatorial vote going to Bob Bird (not Bobby Byrd), of the Alaska Independence Party, is what’s making this all possible.