I have been asked about the geographic distribution of the in-person early voting shifts in Florida from 2010 to 2014. Here are some quick graphs, using data through yesterday. 1. The graph of the percentage change in in-person early voting turnout, from 2010 to 2014. On the whole, fairly uniform increases throughout, with notable exceptions. […]
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FL continues to outpace 2010 early voting totals by about 10%. Unlike 2010, the partisan pattern has remained fairly constant for the entire two-week period. The only question remaining is whether there will be a sharp up-tick in Democratic composition these last days, or whether the shift in composition will continue to be more gradual. […]
First, the consistency in this year’s early voting trends: the volume exceeds 2010. Second, the deviation: the stark partisan contrast with 2010 did not appear yesterday. At this point in 2010, the Democratic share of the in-person early voting population began to shoot up, as the election approached. Yesterday, there was a small increase in […]
Florida’s in-person early voting period is now in full swing. The following two graphs, which update previous posts, show two things: Graph 1: About 70,000 more people have voted early, compared to the same time in 2010. Graph 2: For each day of early voting, the composition of in-person early voters has been (on the […]
As readers of this blog know, I am interested in better understanding why long lines form at (some) polling places. One common claim, or hypothesis, is that a big culprit is ballot length. Unfortunately, it is very hard to test this claim empirically, because of the difficulty in getting a good sample of ballots from […]
Here is the update on in-person early voting statistics, in three graphs. First is the day-to-day in-person early voting turnout, compared to 2010. Because all counties have now begun early voting, I don’t account for when counties started. (Over twenty counties opened their in-person early voting operations yesterday.)Unlike 2010, 2014 was the biggest day of […]
Florida has begun in-person early voting under the new regime that allows, though doesn’t require, two weeks of early voting. Because counties may start early voting on different days, it is not straightforward to compare early voting trends in 2014 with those in 2010. Using the early voting turnout files available from the state, it […]
On Tuesday the Government Accountability Office issued its long-awaited report on wait times at polling places. I recommend it to all who are interested in this topic. It is no criticism of the report to say that much of what is contained within it has appeared elsewhere. The report provides one-stop shopping for those interested […]
We have a blog post on our Voter ID and Discretion article out on the LSEUSA blog site. Poll workers often are influenced by their own biases when implementing voter identification laws but this problem can be mitigated in part by having better educated poll workers.
I did a Q&A recently with Lonna Atkeson, which is now available on the OUPblog, “Improving Survey Methodology: a Q&A with Lonna Atkeson.” This Q&A builds off of a recent Symposium on Advances in Survey Methodology that Lonna and I co-edited in Political Analysis.